Warner Bros./Universal / Warner Bros./Universal

The biggest pop culture effect of the twelvemonth is upon us . The 2024 Oscars ceremony is this weekend , and everyone is postulate one question : Who is going to win ? An interminable parade of precursor awards like the Golden Globes , the Critics Choice Awards , and the SAG Awards , have given some clue to likely superior , but no one really knows for sure who is buy the farm to win Best Picture , Best Actress , and the other 21 family .

Will the two moving picture that made up last summer’sBarbenheimer phenomenon , OppenheimerandBarbie , issue triumphal ? Or will underdogs likeThe HoldoversorPoor Thingsimpress enough voters to secure surprise wins ? Digital Trends will look into a crystal globe and give our best guess as to who will advance , who will go home empty - handed , and who might pull out off an upset .

A split image of Barbie and Oppenheimer.

Warner Bros./Universal / Warner Bros./Universal

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Best Picture:

American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past living

Poor thing

The Zone of Interest

Who is going to win?Oppenheimer . When the nominating address were announced , it was a two - way Equus caballus raceway between it andBarbie , but the latter movie has since fade . Besides , Oppenheimeris the rare movie that ’s a financial smash hit , a cultural phenomenon , and a critical darling . Films like that rare , and the Academy will want to enshrine it in its residence hall of fame .

Best Actor

Bradley Cooper – Maestro

Colman Domingo – Rustin

Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers

Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

Who is perish to win?Cillian Murphy . It ’s tempting to peck Giamatti here , and in most yr , he ’s be a barb dunk , but Murphy has theOppenheimertrain supporting him , and he win both the Golden Globe and the SAG award for Best Actor .

Best Actress

Annette Bening – Nyad

Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a dip

Carey Mulligan – Maestro

Emma Stone – Poor Things

Who is going to win?This is the only major category that ’s still a moment of an enigma , but I ’m leaning towardLily Gladstonedue to her win at the SAG Awards last month . A lot of people are banking on Emma Stone as a likely spoiler , but my money is on Sandra Hüller . Anatomy of a Fallhas tons of impulse right now , and herbig scrap scene ( “ You are not a victim!”)has made the rounds on societal media .

Best Supporting Actress

Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple

America Ferrera – Barbie

Jodie Foster – Nyad

Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The hangover

Who is going to win?Da’Vine Joy Randolph . She ’s won every major precursor award . Plus , she actuallydeservesit .

Best Supporting Actor

Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction

Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer

Ryan Gosling – Barbie

Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things

Who is going to win?Robert Downey Jr. A preceding nominee forChaplinandTropic Thunder , the ex - Iron Man is due for his Oscar , and it wo n’t be forDoctor Dolittle 2 .

Best Director

Anatomy of a Fall – Justine Triet

Killers of the Flower Moon – Martin Scorsese

Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan

pathetic Things – Yorgos Lanthimos

The Zone of Interest – Jonathan Glazer

Who is going to win?Christopher Nolan . It ’s time to honour the only director who can bring in a gang for a three - hour movie about nuclear physic .

Best Adapted Screenplay

Who is going to win?It ’s a flip - up betweenAmerican FictionandBarbie , but I ’m leaning towardAmerican Fiction .

Best Original Screenplay

May December

Who is going to win?It ’s betweenAnatomy of a FallorPast Lives . The former has more momentum , so I ’m run withAnatomy of a Fall .

Best Original Song

The Fire Inside – Flamin ’ Hot(Diane Warren )

I ’m Just Ken – Barbie(Mark Ronson , Andrew Wyatt )

It Never Went Away – American Symphony(Jon Batiste , Dan Wilson )

Wahzhazhe ( A Song For My People)–Killers of the Flower Moon(Scott George )

What Was I Made For?–Barbie(Billie Eilish , Finneas O’Connell )

Who is go to win?BillieandBarbiehave this locked down .

Best Original Score

Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Who is going to win?Ludwig Göransson‘s lush , forceful score forOppenheimeris the most memorable , and the one to beat .

Best International Feature

Io Capitano

Perfect Days

guild of the Snow

The Teachers ’ Lounge

Who is die to win?If a nominee in this category is also a Best Picture nominee as well , it stand up an excellent hazard of winning : The Zone of Interest .

Best Animated Feature

The Boy and the Heron

Elemental

Nimona

Robot dream

Spider - Man : Across the Spider - Verse

Who is going to win?This is tough call between Sony ’s critically spat Miles Morales sequel and Hayao Miyazaki ’s not - so - final film . I wantThe Boy and the Heronto win this , but I think it will go toSpider - Man : Across the Spider - Verse .

Best Costume Design

Napoleon

Who is going to win?Poor thing . The costume are the showiest , so it will edge out its main competition , Barbie .

Best Make-up and Hairstyling

Golda

Who is go to win?Maestrohas the much - talked about nose , so it will probably win here .

Best Production Design

Who is go to win?Barbie‘s Dream House should edge outPoor Things ‘ steampunk cityscapes , but do n’t be surprised if it does n’t .

Best Sound

The Creator

Mission : Impossible – Dead calculate Part One

Who is going to win?It makes sense thatOppenheimerwins here , but do n’t count outJohnnie Burn ’s extraordinary oeuvre onThe Zone of Interest .

Best Film Editing

Who is travel to win?The schematic wisdom is that the Best Picture succeeder also snags Best Editing unless there ’s an activeness movie in the mix . There are n’t any this year , so this honor belongs toOppenheimer .

Best Cinematography

El Conde

Who is going to win?Killers of the Flower Moonhas the visuals that unremarkably win in this family , butOppenheimercannot be deny .

Best Visual Effects

Godzilla Minus One

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol . 3

Who is going to win?The maudlin favorite here isGodzilla Minus One , which manage to pulled off its telling special effect with a budget of less than $ 20 million . But I would n’t be surprised ifThe Creatorwins instead .

Best Live Action Short

The After

Invincible

Knight of Fortune

cerise , White and grim

The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

Who is going to win?Oscar has a chance to honorWes AndersonwithThe Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar , so they will in all likelihood blame that one .

Best Animated Short

Letter to a Pig

Ninety - Five Senses

Our Uniform

Pachyderme

warfare Is Over ! exalt by the Music of John & Yoko

Who is drop dead to win?Oscar tends to care shortstop that have the Holocaust as its main depicted object , soLetter to a Pigit is .

Best Documentary Feature

Bobi Wine : The People ’s President

The Eternal Memory

Four girl

To Kill a Tiger

20 Days in Mariupol

Who is survive to win?Ukraine’s20 Days in Mariupol .

Best Documentary Short

The ABCs of Book Banning

The Barber of Little Rock

Island In Between

The Last Repair Shop

Nǎi Nai and Wài Pó

Who is give out to win?The ABC’s of Book BanningalthoughNǎi Nai and Wài Pócould storm due to its availability onDisney+ .